Tuesday, July 22, 2014

$NATGAS--A bottom?

I don't know the exact bottom for $NATGAS, but we are making a seasonal bottom (end of July, beginning of August) as we have 70% of the time over the last 20 years.  If you haven't started to accumulate--it is time.  GL

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Thursday, July 17, 2014

$INDU:$VIX--VIX beats DOW again

For the last fifteen days the VIX has beaten DOW, and now a pattern is emerging: lower highs, lower lows.  This bears watching.  GL

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UGAZ--Start buying

UGAZ is or is very close to making a low--start buying.  GL

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Wednesday, July 16, 2014

$RUT:$NDX--A rising market, but is it healthy?

As you can see by the chart below the rise in stocks for the last year has been progressively more selective.  And put buying is now on the rise.  And the 10 DMA Advance/Decline is near the year low.  And Hi/Lo Differential is not much better.  Do investors really believe Yellen will save them?  How do people justify this optimism?  What in the future is there that makes these people smile?  Housing?  Europe?  Retail sales?  GL

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Weak Europe is finally pulling Germany down, A German recession would put the euro back in danger | InvestmentWatch

 

Weak Europe is finally pulling Germany down, A German recession would put the euro back in danger | InvestmentWatch

John Hussman: Ockham's Razor And The Market Cycle | Seeking Alpha

 

John Hussman: Ockham's Razor And The Market Cycle | Seeking Alpha